Eva Guerrero Alvarez vs Mariia Tkacheva Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the performance of Alvarez and Tkacheva over the past year presents a comprehensive glimpse into their comparative strengths and weaknesses. In terms of match wins, Tkacheva has emerged stronger, securing 70.42% (W/L 50/21) of her matches, while Alvarez has a win rate of 61.11% (W/L 33/21). This win-loss record heavily influences the head-to-head prediction for their upcoming match.

Examining their second serve performance over the last six months reveals that Tkacheva has a slight edge, with a success rate of 38.25% compared to Alvarez's 38.03%. The return game stats further solidify Tkacheva's front-runner status; she has won 49.73% of her opponents' second serve points, surpassing Alvarez's 47.1%. However, Alvarez takes a narrow lead with first serve returns, achieving a 34.65% win rate over Tkacheva's 33.12%. These metrics are critical in predicting match outcomes and gauging a player's favored status in head-to-head matchups.

When under pressure, such as saving breakpoints, Alvarez demonstrates a slightly better performance, saving 49.19% compared to Tkacheva's 48.3%. Additionally, in breakpoint conversion opportunities, Tkacheva once again edges out with a success rate of 41.23% over Alvarez's 38.24%. Such insights are invaluable for in-game betting predictions.

In terms of surface preference, both players excel on hard courts. Tkacheva holds a 72% win rate (W/L 123/49), whereas Alvarez follows closely with 68% (W/L 127/59). Each player, however, has a distinct weakness; Tkacheva struggles most on clay with a 51% win rate (W/L 22/21), while Alvarez's weakest performance is on grass, having not won a match (W/L 0/1).

When considering the level of opposition, Tkacheva tends to compete against slightly higher-ranked players, with an average opponent rank of 383.76, whereas Alvarez faces opponents with an average rank of 410.28. In deciding sets, a factor crucial for live match predictions, Tkacheva shows a minor advantage, winning 67% compared to Alvarez's 64%.

Reflecting on performance at Challenger/ITF tournaments, Tkacheva maintains a higher winning percentage at these events, securing victories in 70% of her matches. Alvarez, on the other hand, wins 50% of her matches in similar tournament settings.

Overall, statistical analysis suggests that Tkacheva holds a marginal advantage over Alvarez. Her consistent performance in match wins, return games, pressure situations, and surface adaptability indicates a strong likelihood of her emerging victorious in their impending match.